Monday, March 9, 2026

On Tap Today

  • Unregulated loans: The collapse of a UK mortgage lender is raising new questions about the fast-growing private credit market.

  • Landlord protection: A New York appeals court struck down a state law banning discrimination against Section 8 voucher holders.

  • California premium: A new deal allows State Farm to raise homeowners insurance rates after the Los Angeles wildfires.

  • Conversion webinar: How developers determine whether an office building can realistically convert to housing—and when the numbers say to walk away. Sign up

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Editor’s Pick

The collapse of a British mortgage lender has become the latest embarrassment for the fast-growing private credit industry. Market Financial Solutions, a company that specializes in short-term property-backed bridge loans, is now in insolvency after lenders discovered that some of the collateral backing its loans may have been pledged multiple times. The alleged “double pledging” left a massive hole in the balance sheet. Creditors extended roughly £2 billion in financing but may be facing a collateral shortfall approaching £930 million.

The company’s rise was fueled by the surge in private credit after the pandemic. Institutional lenders and banks including Barclays, Santander, Jefferies, and funds tied to Apollo provided financing as the lender rapidly expanded its loan book, which reportedly grew to more than £2.4 billion by 2025. That growth helped the firm become a major player in short-term real estate lending, particularly for complex property deals that traditional banks often avoid. But the same speed that helped the business grow appears to have masked serious weaknesses in underwriting and oversight.

Private credit has grown rapidly over the past decade as regulations pushed traditional banks away from riskier lending. The result has been a wave of investment funds stepping in to finance everything from leveraged buyouts to property developments. The sector now manages well over a trillion dollars globally and has become an important source of financing for real estate deals that banks no longer want on their balance sheets. But that growth has also shifted some of the risk outside the tightly regulated banking system.

Real estate lending is particularly exposed to these dynamics. Fast underwriting timelines and complex borrower entities are common in "hard money" loans. Private credit vehicles have much less regulatory oversight than banks, and complex accounting can mask the true financial situation. The MFS case shows how quickly that structure can unravel when the same property is used to secure multiple loans.

None of this means private credit is inherently unstable. The sector argues that its long-term capital structures make it less vulnerable to sudden withdrawals than banks. But the growing list of fraud allegations suggests the industry is entering a phase where rapid expansion is being tested by the credit cycle. As the market tightens, more questionable deals are likely to surface.

Private credit has become one of the largest alternative sources of property financing. If lenders and investors start questioning the underwriting behind those loans, the supply of capital for development, bridge financing and value-add deals could tighten quickly. The cockroaches rarely travel alone.

Overheard

A New York appeals court struck down a state law banning discrimination against tenants who use Section 8 vouchers, ruling that the 2019 source-of-income protections violate landlords' Fourth Amendment rights. The five-judge panel sided with Ithaca landlord Jason Fane, who argued that accepting Section 8 tenants would require allowing housing officials to inspect his properties without a warrant. The judges acknowledged Section 8 as a critical tool for expanding affordable housing and noted that source-of-income discrimination often serves as a proxy for other forms of bias, but ultimately concluded the law was unconstitutional on its face. Attorney General Letitia James, who sued Fane in 2022 for refusing to accept vouchers, said her office is reviewing the decision. Around 123,000 New York City households use Section 8 to pay part of their rent, with tens of thousands more across the state relying on the program.

The ruling comes at a particularly bad time for New York's housing voucher programs. Mayor Zohran Mamdani said in February he no longer intends to support expansion of a city-run voucher program that allows tenants to pay 30% of their income toward rent with the city covering the remainder. Source-of-income discrimination has been illegal in New York City since 2008 under local law, and it's unclear what effect the state court ruling will have on those city protections. The city is evaluating the implications.

The decision could ripple beyond New York. Seventeen states and the District of Columbia have passed source-of-income discrimination laws that protect Section 8 holders, with nine of those states enacting protections since 2018. Around 120 municipalities have their own ordinances. The constitutional argument that accepting vouchers forces landlords to consent to government searches could be tested in other jurisdictions with similar laws. Landlords have long pushed back against source-of-income protections, citing concerns about regulatory burden, inspection requirements, and payment delays.

Research shows the laws work when enforced. Urban Institute studies found that source-of-income protections increase voucher utilization rates and help voucher holders move to lower-poverty neighborhoods, though the impact can take up to five years to materialize. The New York ruling hands property owners a legal framework to challenge these protections, potentially making it harder for low-income renters to find housing in markets where source-of-income laws were one of the few tools preventing blanket discrimination against voucher holders.

State Farm has reached a deal with California regulators allowing it to move forward with a roughly 17 percent increase in homeowners insurance rates after the costly Los Angeles wildfires. The agreement with the California Department of Insurance settles a dispute over the insurer’s request for much larger increases as wildfire claims mounted. The compromise reduces some of the originally proposed hikes and includes refunds for certain policyholders, but it still represents a significant jump in premiums for many homeowners.

The negotiations highlight how difficult the math of property insurance in California has become. Wildfires have grown larger and more destructive while rebuilding costs continue to climb. Insurers argue that the current regulatory system makes it difficult to price that risk quickly enough. In recent years, several major carriers have limited new policies or pulled back from parts of the state, leaving regulators trying to prevent a wider retreat by allowing higher rates.

Pressure is already showing up in the growing use of the California FAIR Plan, the state’s insurer of last resort for properties that cannot find coverage in the private market. As more homes move into higher wildfire risk zones, the pool has expanded quickly, and premiums have climbed. That shift is turning insurance into one of the biggest variables in property ownership in California.

The State Farm deal suggests the state’s insurance market may move toward a pattern of negotiated rate increases designed to keep insurers from leaving altogether. That approach could stabilize coverage in the short term, but it also means the cost of owning property in wildfire-exposed areas is likely to keep rising. Insurance is starting to function less like a routine expense and more like a structural constraint on where and how people build.

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Propmodo Daily is written and edited by Franco Faraudo with contributions from readers like you and the Propmodo team.

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