Thursday, May 21, 2026

On Tap Today

  • Grid and bear it: Texas is becoming the data center boom’s new power center.

  • Builder bailout: The House strips a provision that froze investment in built-to-rent single-family construction.

  • Listing lockout: A Chicago MLS cut off Zillow over a dispute with Compass on private listings.

  • Multifamily outlook webinar: Explore the key data and trends shaping multifamily rents, investment, and housing markets in 2026. Sign up

Marker Value Daily Change
S&P 500 (Index) 7,432.97 ▲ 79.36 (+1.08%)
FTSE Nareit (All Equity REITs) 762.59 0
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield 4.55% ▼ 0.12 ppt
SOFR (overnight) 3.65% 0
Data as of May 20, 2026.
A blockbuster day. Trump told reporters the U.S. is in the "final stages" of negotiations with Iran, sending oil down 5.7% to $98 and pulling Treasury yields sharply lower. The S&P surged 1.08% to 7,432.97 and the Dow reclaimed 50,000. Then after the bell, Nvidia beat on revenue ($81.6B vs. $79.2B expected) and issued strong Q2 guidance. SpaceX also filed its S-1 for an IPO. Delta jumped 9.4% as lower fuel costs repriced airline economics in real time. For CRE, the combination of an Iran deal approaching, oil back below $100, and the 10-year pulling back from its 4.67% high is the most constructive single-session shift in weeks. If the deal closes and oil stabilizes in the $90s, the energy-driven inflation premium starts unwinding and the rate-cut conversation could reopen for late 2026. Kevin Warsh is expected to be sworn in as Fed chair this week, and his first public comments on monetary policy will set the tone for whether the new regime leans into the improving inflation picture or holds the hawkish line.

Industrial

For years, the data center industry chased fiber routes and network density. Now it is chasing something far more basic: electricity. Cushman & Wakefield’s latest global rankings place Dallas as the top primary data center market in the world, while Austin-San Antonio and West Texas lead secondary and tertiary markets. Together, the results suggest that Texas has become the center of gravity for the next wave of AI infrastructure.

The scale of development is staggering. Global capacity under construction has surged to 31.7 gigawatts, with the Americas accounting for roughly 80 percent of projects worldwide. West Texas alone now has more capacity under construction than the entire EMEA region combined, fueled by hyperscalers racing to secure power before constraints tighten further. In this environment, access to electricity, transmission infrastructure, and local political support matter more than proximity to traditional internet hubs.

That rush is also exposing the industry’s biggest fault lines. Utilities are struggling with multi-year delivery timelines, water concerns are mounting in arid regions, and speculative land plays are inflating pipeline numbers across the country. According to Cushman & Wakefield’s John McWilliams, the real indicator of market strength is no longer headline gigawatts but how much planned capacity is already pre-committed to actual tenants. The next phase of the data center boom may be defined less by ambition than by which markets can realistically deliver power, approvals, and infrastructure fast enough to keep pace with AI demand.

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Fast Take

House Strips Build-To-Rent Sell-Off Mandate From Housing Bill

The House passed a revised housing bill Wednesday by a 396-13 vote, removing a provision that would have required developers to sell newly constructed single-family rental homes within seven years of completion. The Senate version included that seven-year mandate, which had effectively halted investment in new build-to-rent projects. The bill retains restrictions on institutional investors purchasing existing single-family homes but exempts newly built rental properties from the forced-sale timeline.
Developers and investors argued the seven-year window would not provide enough time to recover construction costs and could force landlords to evict tenants to meet the deadline. The provision's removal came after intense lobbying from the real-estate industry, though House negotiators agreed to stricter language on institutional investor bans in exchange. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, who co-authored the Senate package, participated in those talks alongside White House officials. President Trump, who had pushed for investor restrictions since January, now supports the House version.
The bill includes measures to accelerate housing production, including streamlined environmental reviews and reduced regulations for manufactured housing. The White House urged both chambers to resolve remaining differences before the August recess, with housing affordability a top issue ahead of midterm elections. The legislation now moves to the Senate for final approval.
 
Fast Take

MLS Data Cutoff Leaves Zillow Users Without Chicago Listings

Midwest Real Estate Data LLC, the multiple listing service operator for Chicago and its suburbs, blocked Zillow from accessing data on 43,000 properties Wednesday. MRED said Zillow violated licensing terms by excluding nine homes that Compass marketed privately before adding them to the MLS. Zillow began removing Chicago listings from its platform after the suspension took effect. The action came one week after Zillow filed a federal lawsuit accusing MRED and Compass of collusion to restrict buyer access.
Zillow instituted a policy blocking listings publicly marketed for more than 24 hours before MLS submission. Compass has encouraged sellers to market homes to its agents first, a practice Zillow argues reduces transparency. MRED gave Zillow until Tuesday to comply with licensing terms and display all submitted properties. Zillow refused, prompting the data cutoff. Compass previously sued Zillow in New York over the policy but dropped the case in March after a judge denied a temporary restraining order.
MLS operators control the primary source of residential listing data distributed to consumer platforms like Zillow and Redfin. Membership and a real estate license are required to submit listings to most services. Chicago represents the third-largest city in the US, and the data suspension leaves buyers without access to a major inventory source. Compass said Chicago has operated as an open marketplace, while Zillow framed the cutoff as prioritizing brokerage profits over buyer access.

Overheard

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